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Megjelent Kónya István, Krekó Judit és Oblath Gábor cikke az Economic Modelling tudományos folyóiratban

Volume 90, August 2020, Pages 254-272

Labor shares in the old and new EU member states – Sectoral effects and the role of relative prices

Abstract

The paper studies the labor share among countries of the European Union, with a particular attention to the newer member states of Central and Eastern Europe (CEEU). We find that CEEU countries typically have lower labor shares than older EU member states, both in the aggregate and at the sectoral level. Structural change, while quite pronounced among the CEEU economies, plays only a minor role in the evolution of the labor share. The exception is agriculture, which for some countries has a sizable impact on the level and dynamics of the labor share – partly because of important measurement problems. We also find that a significant part of the difference in conventionally measured labor shares between the more developed EU countries and less developed CEEU countries can be attributed to differences in relative prices. This is consistent with a productivity-based explanation: we show that a simple, calibrated two-sector model with sectoral productivity differentials can explain 36–71% of cross-country variations in the non-agricultural labor share.

Highlights

•   CEEU countries typically have lower labor shares than other EU countries, both in the aggregate and at the sectoral level.
•   Structural change plays only a minor role in the evolution of the labor share in EU countries, except for agriculture.
•   A large part of the difference in labor shares between CEEU and other EU countries is due to differences in relative prices.
•   We construct a corrected labor share indicator, which accounts for differences in the relative price of consumption.
•   We show that a calibrated two-sector model explains 36–71% of cross-country variations in the non-agricultural labor share.

 

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